Thursday, December 24, 2009

Week 16 pickups

I had just finished reading all the thank you notes for naming Quinton Ganther as my Super Sleeper Pick of the Week. Anyone who started him felt genius. Just like me. I smiled in an awe-shucks, bashful kind of way as the compliments rolled in. Nervous about the Redskins-Giants matchup, I looked for the next running back surprise.

Make that two.

Maybe I was over confident. Or perhaps still stunned by my team’s first-round upset win over a very stacked team. Or maybe I had some bad information. (yes, I think I’ll point fingers). But this may top all bad picks. Ever.

I’m talking about the smash-and-dash duo of Chris Jennings and Arian Foster.

There are two factors I didn’t anticipate: 1) Jerome Harrison and 2) Foster’s fumble. Ok, maybe I should have seen the fumble coming. Those are slippery balls in Houston. But Jerome Harrison? Seriously? Where did he come from? Wasn’t it supposed to be Chris Jennings’ day? I went against my “no Browns policy.” For the second time, that’s the last time that I do that.

If you started Jennings, please accept my apologies. I did too. He earned me one point. As bad as he was, Foster was worse. Two points worse, amassing an embarrassing -1 points in the playoffs. So, the net score of two of my three running backs was zero.

All I needed was a 500-yard performance from Ben Roethlisberger. The Steelers’ unconventional onside kick helped too. Thanks, Mike Tomlin.

On to the Fantasy Super Bowl!

Pickups

Here are a few notes as you finalize your lineups. I’ve included a few sleepers too, but please claim at your own risk.

Maurice Morris – The journeyman RB put up huge numbers last week (126 yards, 1 TD) in Kevin Smith’s absence. While I don’t expect a repeat performance, he should have respectable numbers, especially since Jerome Harrison can’t steal his carries. Good sleeper pick.

Michael Bush – Another good running back coming off an impressive performance vs. Denver (133 yards, 1 TD). With Justin Fargas hurt, Oakland is down to two backs.

Vince Young – VY is an interesting pick. The Titans will likely run the ball against a tough San Diego pass offense. But this could mean more rushing yards for the QB who arguably has the best running game among his peers.

Have a question for Erin? E-mail her at erskelley@yahoo.com. Also, tune in to Erin's fantasy advice on Sports Radio 610 every Friday morning, or during the Texans pre-game show every Sunday at 9:30.

Sunday, December 20, 2009

Sunday 2-minute drill

A few news and notes as you finalize your lineups:

Probable – Tom Brady, Knowshon Moreno, Jonathan Stewart, Tim Hightower, Ahmad Bradshaw, Roddy White, Sims-Walker. Jones-Drew, Hines Ward

Questionable – Steve Fitzgerald, Michael Turner, Matt Ryan, Vince Young, Steven Jackson, Correll Buckhalter, Percy Harvin, Sidney Rice, Calvin Johnson, Terrell Owens

Out – Kevin Smith, Jamal Lewis, Clinton Portis, Steve Slaton, Jake Delhomme

Other notes

Game time changes – The 49ers-Eagles and Bears-Ravens games have been moved to 4:15 EST due to the snowstorms in the northeast.

Atlanta running backs – If possible, avoid starting anyone from this quandary of backs.

Justin Forsett – Seattle coach Jim Mora contends Forsett will get more playing time, which would mark the first time Forsett would get the nod over Julius Jones, without an injury prompting the call. The Seahawks face a weakened run Bucs defense. Things look good for Forsett today.

Steve Fitzgerald – While expected to play, check this out as kickoff approaches. Take a look at Steve Breaston if Fitzgerald sits.

Kellen Winslow – While Winslow practiced on Thursday, he did not participate Friday. Setback, perhaps? No word yet from Bucs’ camp, but check his status later this morning.

Steven Jackson – A possible swine flu illness could keep the only bright spot on the Rams out of today’s lineup.

Brandon Jacobs – Good news for Jacobs owners if Bradshaw is inactive.

Fred Jackson – The Buffalo RB burned New England in their last contest. Look for the Patriots D to mend those holes, and limit Jackson’s production. And why not, when they have Ryan Fitzgerald as plan B. Jackson should fare ok, but not a fantasy gem this week.

Knowshon Moreno – An injured Buckhalter positions Moreno as the lone back. Pitted against a soft Raiders D this week.

LaDainian Tomlinson – Despite failing to hit the century mark this season, LT is making an impact by finding the end zone. Especially lately. In the past five games, he’s found pay dirt seven times. Expect another score today.

Minnesota defense – With the Vikings possibly missing some key offensive weapons today, how will this affect their ability to defend against the Panthers potent run game? If the offense is on the field less, and possibly giving up a stronger field position to Carolina, it could prove that a good defense starts with a good offense.

Tim Hightower – I love the Lions matchup, but Hightower has only one working thumb right now. And let’s not forget his fumbling issues. Seems like a bad combination, and possibly a cause-and-effect relationship. Either way, if I’m coach, I’m choosing a running back with all phalanges in check.

Chris Johnson, Ray Rice, Adrian Peterson, Thomas Jones and Ricky Williams – Be thankful if you don’t play against them this week.

Have a question for Erin? E-mail her at erskelley@yahoo.com. Also, tune in to Erin's fantasy advice on Sports Radio 610 every Friday morning, or during the Texans pre-game show every Sunday at 9:30.

Thursday, December 17, 2009

Week 15 pickups

Chris Jennings – I doubt he qualifies as a sleeper as he clearly gained attention last week, netting 73 yards and a TD against Pittsburgh. Jennings should get even more carries this week. The KC match up is a bonus.

Arian Foster – The St. Louis match up alone, even if he splits carries, and even with no scores gets you eight points. If he scores or earns the majority of the carries, you’re looking at 10-15, and possibly more. Good waiver wire pick up.

Houston Texans defense – Sleeper potential here. The Texans defense has certainly improved, although from a fantasy perspective, not getting the points (via turnovers and sacks) that you want from your fantasy D (reality D too). Still, the St. Louis match up is really promising. And while the playoffs are a long shot, the Texans are playing for something.

Other news and notes

Tom Brady – Listed as questionable again. Again, he’ll play.

Vince Young – While he’s got the Q-tag, he’s likely to play. With a sore hamstring, his mobility has to be in question. Oh wait, he proves everyone wrong. A lot.

Jamaal Charles – The Longhorn back continues to shine without handcuff Larry Johnson. And despite the Chiefs dismal offense all around him. Good match up against Cleveland on Sunday.

Ryan Grant - The Packers RB has a chance to penetrate the Pittsburgh D. According to ESPN, the Steelers have given up an average of 16 fantasy points to opposing running backs over the past five weeks.

Greg Jennings - The Packers deep threat is a high-risk/high-reward option. I don’t see the Packers going deep that much in this game, but if they do, it could be big for Jennings owners.

Sidney Rice – With key injuries to Percy Harvin and Visanthe Shiancoe, Rice will shoulder more of the load. Carolina does protect against the pass well, but this is Sidney Rice.

Robert Meachem – Despite a little slump last week, I still like him vs. Dallas this week.

Steve Breaston – If Larry Fitzgerald sits, take a look at Breaston. But if Larry plays, bench Breaston. Just not enough looks.

Braylon Edwards – At best, he’ll get you 10 points. At worst, he’ll get you four. At this point, we don’t know who the QB is, which does make a difference. Still, just seems like too much of a question mark.

Roy Williams – A spotty play. Best suited for a third slot or deep league formats.

Andre Johnson - No homework necessary if you own Andre. Instead, check out this video of AJ buying underprivileged kids Christmas presents. Classy guy.

Antonio Bryant – Even with a rookie QB, the Seattle match up is attractive.

Brandon Jacobs - The old Jacobs is back, scoring in back-to-back games. Plus, the Washington defense is a little banged up, and reports indicate that it’s possible Albert Haynesworth remains out.

Jonathan Cribbs- I know Cribbs looked good last week, but he hasn’t demonstrated consistency, so I don’t have a lot of confidence that he'll sustain that kind of point production. Plus, he’s listed as questionable.

LeSean McCoy – The Eagles just don’t run as much with Brian Westbrook out of the lineup. Plus, he’s splitting carries with Leonard Weaver. To make matters worse, there’s a chance that Westbrook returns this week.

Knowshon Moreno – Practiced fully on Thursday, so he’s likely to play even though he’s listed as questionable. Good news for Moreno owners as the Broncos rookie RB faces Oakland.

DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart – Both are expected to suit up against Minnesota. Unfortunately, it’s against Minnesota.

Calvin Johnson – What a difference a QB makes. Johnson owners are hoping Matthew Stafford returns. You should also check Calvin’s status on Sunday. Listed as questionable too, but probably will play.

5-6 anonymous Rams players – Poor Rams. Practice was cancelled Thursday when flu suspicions for five or six unidentified Rams were confirmed. Steven Jackson is the only one with fantasy implications. Well, Matt Schaub owners are hoping it’s the entire D-line.

Have a question for Erin? E-mail her at erskelley@yahoo.com. Also, tune in to Erin's fantasy advice on Sports Radio 610 every Friday morning, or during the Texans pre-game show every Sunday at 9:30.

Sunday, December 13, 2009

Sunday 2-minute drill

A few news and notes as you finalize your lineups:

Probable - Chris Johnson, DeAngelo Williams, Pierre Thomas, Tim Hightower, both Mannings, Jonathan Stewart, Adrian Peterson, Maurice Jones-Drew

Questionable - Pat Patriot, Tom Brady, Vince Young, Steven Jackson, Brett Favre, Joe Flacco, Chris Johnson, Mark Sanchez, Percy Harvin, Roddy White, Mike Sims-Walker, Devin Hester, Jeremy Maclin

Out - Matt Ryan, Steve Slaton

Two key Patriots likely game-time decisions

Tom Brady – Listed as questionable with multiple problems – shoulder, ribs and fingers. OK, maybe he can pass with sore ribs, but his shoulder? Fingers? Check this one out as game time approaches.

Pat Patriot - If you planned on starting Patriots mascot Pat Patriot, check the waiver wire as Pat was arrested this weekend for prostitution-related crimes. Pat was unable to provide comment since mascots can't talk. And no word from Patriots officials if he'll suit up today. With the playoffs underway, don't take your chances here. Check out waiver finds Captain Fear of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Toro of the Houston Texans and Blue of the Indianapolis Colts. Great sleeper potential.


Other news and notes

Michael Turner – Once again questionable. Once again, avoid Atlanta backs. None of his replacements were even average last week vs. Philly. New Orleans won’t be any gentler.

Ryan Grant – A friendlier Bears defense, should help Grant bounce back after a bad outing against the Ravens.

Phillip Rivers – Don’t be surprised to see Rivers light up the Cowboys. He has quietly put together a strong season, a top five quarterback in both passing yards and touchdowns.

Steven Jackson – While he’s listed as questionable, he was also questionable the last two weeks when he suited up. Not bad performances either. Check his status before kickoff, but all reports indicate he’ll play.

DeAngelo Williams – Sorry, Williams owners. He picked a bad time to get hurt. And worse, you don’t know if he’ll start and/or play. Fortunately, Carolina has an early start time Sunday, so at least you’ll be able to make an informed decision.

LaDainian Tomlinson – While LT has put together a string of good outings, he does face a stronger D-line in Dallas. I’d still play him. Just don’t expect 15-20 points. Would you settle for 12?

Chris Johnson – Don’t panic. He was questionable earlier in the week. Just a precautionary measure. He’ll play, and play well against the Rams. Really sorry if you face him today.

Vince Young – VY should also enjoy a nice day against St. Louis.

Joe Flacco – The Matt Forte of QBs, Flacco shows that matchups really do matter. Fortunately for fantasy owners, he faces the Lions today.

Tony Romo – QBs fare well against the Chargers, so look for Romo should put up some nice numbers.

Jason Cambell – Pitted against the Raiders today, Campbell is a decent pickup if you need a quarterback.

Jamaal Charles – Kansas City should run the ball all day against Buffalo, who has given up the most points to opposing running backs. Charles should have a very good day.

Kevin Boss – Nice sleeper option here. Boss faces the Eagles, who yield the second most points to opposing tight ends.

Alex Smith – I’ll continue recommending Smith as long as he continues putting up good numbers. Surprisingly, he's available in most leagues. Matches up this week against a QB-friendly Arizona D.

Have a question for Erin? E-mail her at erskelley@yahoo.com. Also, tune in to Erin's fantasy advice on Sports Radio 610 every Friday morning, or during the Texans pre-game show every Sunday at 9:30.

Thursday, December 10, 2009

Week 14 pickups

If you’re reading this, congratulations on your playoff berth! It’s been a long, treacherous season for me. And I’m guessing you too. I don’t know any owners who skated through this season with ease. This weekend, I have guys in my starting lineup who weren’t even listed in any of my fantasy football preview magazines. Not even as a courtesy. Some not even on an NFL roster. When you’re deciding between Quinton Ganther and Jason Snelling, your playoff spot is well earned. Ugly, but well earned.

Here are a few playoff pickups who will hopefully advance you to the next round.

Quinton Ganther – The forth Redskins running back to start in six games, Ganther faces a soft Oakland defense. Yahoo Sports reports that the backup wasn’t even on the roster when Clinton Portis suffered a concussion on November 8, which eventually led to a series of one-hit running backs. If you had Steve Slaton (like me), take a look at Ganther.

Davone Bess – Ten receptions, one touchdown and 117 yards got my attention. Especially against the Patriots. The Jaguars defend the run fairly well, potentially opening up more opportunities for Bess this Sunday.

Chris Brown – With Slaton out for the year, Brown was named the Texans starter again. While he'll split carries, Brown is likely to see goal-line action. Good flex option.

Washington defense – Great matchup against Oakland.

Have a question for Erin? E-mail her at erskelley@yahoo.com. Also, tune in to Erin's fantasy advice on Sports Radio 610 every Friday morning, or during the Texans pre-game show every Sunday at 9:30.

Sunday, December 6, 2009

Sunday 2-minute drill

A few news and notes as you finalize your lineups:

Probable – Ben Roethlisberger, Aaron Rodgers, Eli Manning, Matthew Stafford, Maurice Jones-Drew, Adrian Peterson, Ricky Williams, Cedric Benson, Joseph Addai, Ryan Grant, Julius Jones, Reggie Wayne, Justin Fargas, Jonathan Stewart, Mike Sims-Walker

Questionable – Kurt Warner, DeAngelo Williams, Steven Jackson, Michael Turner, Steve Slaton, Tim Hightower, Reggie Bush, Chester Taylor, Justin Forsett, Ahmad Bradshaw, Roddy White

Out – Brian Westbrook, DeSean Jackson, Brent Celek, Donald Brown, Bernard Scott, Jacoby Jones, Dwayne Bowe


Questionably Questionable

Michael Turner – This one’s a doozie. All reports say Turner is questionable, but some say he’ll likely start anyway. Some have Jerious Norwood starting. Some have Jason Snelling starting. Some say Norwood and Snelling will split carries, but Snelling gets the goal line work. Got it? The takeaway from this: avoid this giant web of question marks if at all possible.

Steve Slaton – The same questions linger for the Houston run game. Slaton, while listed as questionable, is rumored to play. But we won’t really know until the injury reports are released later this morning. This is one more frustration for Slaton owners who are already annoyed by Slaton's slippery fingers and the Chris Brown platoon.

DeAngelo Williams – Missed practices all week gave Williams the questionable tag. He remains a game-time decision, unfortunately. Hopefully you have Jonathan Stewart. The Tampa Bay matchup is just too good.

Stephen Jackson – While listed as questionable, Jackson said he’ll play. They always say that.

Tim Hightower – The Arizona back is listed as questionable, but the team often plays those with the Q tag. Quit exaggerating, Cardinals. There are playoff dreams on the line today.

Julius Jones – Justin Forsett’s recent tweaked quad could solidify Jim Mora’s decision to start Julius Jones for the first time in three weeks. Forsett was a more productive back than Jones, but Jones gets his job back anyway.

Kurt Warner – The veteran passer is listed as a game-time decision. While Warner did participate in practice all week, he did split his time with Matt Leinert. With the Cardinals game slated for an evening game, you really can’t wait until then for the decision. Take a look at Alex Smith.


Other notes

Larry Fitzgerald – Speaking of Warner, Fitzgerald owners are crossing their fingers, lighting candles and searching for four-leaf clovers. Warner HAS to start, as Fitzgerald's production is largely influenced by who’s throwing the ball.

Larry Johnson – Rushing for a season-high 107 yards, LJ had a great debut with his new team. Plus, no reports of abuse or foul tweets so far. Kudos, Larry. But Cedric Benson is back this week against Detroit, so Johnson is likely a non-factor.

Jonathan Stewart – If Williams is out, Stewart is poised for a very good day against the 30th ranked Tampa Bay run defense.

Rock Cartwright – With Clinton Portis and Ladell Betts out, Cartwright is a good second or third running back option. The rationale to play him rests on the fact that he’s certain to get the start, and not his matchup, the New Orleans Saints. Cartwright should get a lot of carries and 80+ yards, but don’t count on him finding the endzone. If your RB has a tiny Q next to his name, take a look at Cartwright.

Maurice Jones Drew – MJD had one of his best fantasy games against Houston last time, but the Houston defense has made significant improvements, especially against the run. That said, he’s just so good. He’ll be hard to stop and a must-start no matter who the defense is.

Chris Brown – A good sleeper pick, especially with Slaton’s status in question.

Matt Forte – I’m pointing out the obvious, but Forte does really well against bad teams. The Rams matchup should set him up for a good day.

LaDainian Tomlinson – Cleveland is terrible in the redzone. Start Tomlinson with confidence.

LeSean McCoy – With injuries to key targets DeSean Jackon and Brent Celek, McCoy should get more carries and short passes.

Donald Driver – While his production has been spotty, the Packers will likely throw the ball more, facing a tough Ravens run defense.

Hines Ward – Love the Oakland matchup.

Joseph Addai – The Colts running back may not get a ton of yards, but he finds the endzone.

Have a question for Erin? E-mail her at erskelley@yahoo.com. Also, tune in to Erin's fantasy advice on Sports Radio 610 every Friday morning, or during the Texans pre-game show every Sunday at 9:30.

Thursday, December 3, 2009

Week 13 pickups

Robert Meachem – While on a stacked Saints team, Meachem continues to shine, especially in the red zone. The 2007 first round pick has found the end zone in four out of the last five games. Available in 50 percent of Yahoo leagues.

Justin Forsett – Forsett has been impressive during Jones’ absence, boasting another career day last week, netting 130 yards and two touchdowns. There’s a little risk in starting him, however, as Jim Mora contends that Julius Jones is set to return and start. But some don’t buy that and think Forsett will get the nod. Either way, it’s likely to be a game-time decision. Keep your eye on this one.

Alex Smith – With nearly 500 yards and five touchdowns in two weeks, Smith continues to prove he’s the right choice in San Francisco. Vernon Davis remains a steady target for Smith, and Crabtree is beginning to look more comfortable. Once again, he's a good pickup this week. Available in 68 percent of Yahoo leagues.

Jason Avant – With DeSean Jackson seeing stars, Avant is likely to get more looks, and even red zone material with Brent Celek also out. Add to that, the weakened Atlanta secondary, with cornerback Brian Williams out, and Avant is a nice sleeper pick.

Carolina defense – If you manage your defense by flavor-of-the-week strategy, the available flavors aren’t that tasty this week. The teams that play Oakland, Detroit, St. Louis and Cleveland are good, so good they’re probably already taken. Denver (vs. KC) may be available, but if not, take a look at Carolina. They probably won’t dominate, but they do have a respectable pass defense, and they face a young rookie QB.

Houston Texans Football 101

Ladies are invited to join the Houston Texans on Monday, December 7 at 6:30 p.m. for a special football workshop for women. You'll learn football basics and strategy from some of your favorite Houston Texans players and ambassadors. I'll be there to teach fantasy football concepts, strategies and scoring. My goal is for women to leave there saying, "Aha! That's why he watched Cleveland-Cincinnati last week." After the session, you can stay and watch Monday Night Football and enjoy cocktails and snacks. Registration is required. For more information visit the Houston Texans web site: http://www.houstontexans.com/fanzone/Football101.asp

Have a question for Erin? E-mail her at erskelley@yahoo.com. Also, tune in to Erin's fantasy advice on Sports Radio 610 every Friday morning, or during the Texans pre-game show every Sunday at 9:30.